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Prez. Trump’s ‘America First’ drum beats set the World in Awe!

United States of America has been the global Super-Power for most period after World War II, gaining strengths from its Macho politics and mighty Groupings

Washington:  Should the World be over-awed by the bold pronouncements  made by the new American President Donald Trump post swearing -in ceremony on Monday?  Not at All!  (It’s just an adoption of  ‘Make in India, Make For World’  slogan of Modi Govt.’) ! 

America has been the  undisputed lone Super Power after the collapse of USSR via Glassnost  in 1991.

United States of America (USA)  got an edge in Global Power balance  with victory of  Western Block (comprising UK, USA, Western Europe) over Eastern Block (USSR, Japan, Germany etc.). Western Block was technologically superior and more resourceful with  Atomic  power and  warfare  technology and,  wealth than the Opponent Block. It   continued to build up its muscle over the decades.  At United Nations  and  UN  Security  Council also  Western Block got an   edge with 3:2  line-up verses Eastern Block, other  global power Blocks falling in line with their whims and  choices.

While USSR  also continued to built up its arsenal,  disciplined Armed forces, superior Space research,   yet   Communist ideology forbade it from building economic power and democratic social bonds; that left  its Block frittering  away the advantages and  its unity, both externally and internally.  The Bipolar World Order gave way to a single Power dominance in less than 50 years !

The Positives of Trump’s Comeback:  The announcements on America First,   being heard  with loud Drum-beats and from roof-tops is just  the bold reiteration of  America’s position as a SuperCop. There are certainly  going to be many  positive dividends  from the comeback of  a strong and decisive leader in White House.

President Biden Adminstration had lost US’   Thumbs Up aura following its withdrawal from Afghanistan  on August 30, 2021. The Russia-Ukraine war and its prolongation for about 3 years, showed the US policy on Europe and vis-a-vis NATO in poor shape,  lacking any decisive direction.  Russia under Putin, proved that a Strong Decisive leader is  worth more than an indecicive Power (and its Wealthier Blocks). Israeli  PM Netanyahu  is  standing taller lonely,  surrounded by a herd of  un-ethical enemies, who  captured unarmed  civilians to  gain advantage over  a Nation of a few lakh Jews.

Prez. Donald Trump has sent very  strong and clear STOP signals   on  all disputed issues across the Globe,  can  be put on an upwards   graphline  with  no more subsidies,  repatriation of illegal immigrants from Maxico and Asia/India,  and  President’s  new  policy line of non- deployment of US troops in Global conflicts, will be  well taken by the Americans.  He can certainly retain the dominance  with targetted ICBMs, nuclear warhead carrying   Drones and more.   All these pronouncement would  keep  US  position as  SuperCop  in global politics  with  prideful iceing on the proverbial Cake  for his  own Countrymen, with  some doles in the  pipeline.

Strong  pronouncements  on Canada, Mexico, Gulf of Mexico  and  taking control of  Panama Canal  has  sent the  shockwaves  down the  ruffians’ spines. Canada may not fall into US lap as 51st state, but the message on withdrawal of subsidies,  fall of wayward   Justin Trudeau has hit the nail on its head and also  sent shockwaves across the horizon. Expulsion of illegal immigration is Trump 2.0 govt’s  priority,  it may annoy some of US friends, but there’s   nothing  wrong in this. Illegals are unwelcome everywhere, and must be despatched to their origins. (India also has over 3 crore illegals from Bangladesh, Pakistan, Myanmar  and Sri Lanka) .

Ceasefire in Israel-Hammas-Pallestine conflict,   has  given a breathing time to find a  mutually acceptable solution to West Asia;  any  effort to bring Putin-Zelensky on negotiation Table would  bring a  much needed relief to  Europe and  other peace loving  citizens across the Globe. Incidently,  Vladimir Putin has just  called  Donald Trump as a  Cunning (astute)  but Pragmatic  World Leader!’  Although Russian  President Putin  would be the gainer with  retaining chunks of  Ukraine’s  territories, redefining  its borders with  Europe   and  burrying  Zelensky’s  ambition to  embark on NATO’s   ‘shattered’  bandwagon. Vladir Putin with a commanding edge in the war, would  have  to lose nothing on the  Table, except a few bottles  of Vodka!  

Two ferosiest  opponents  Donald Trump will need to  deal in near future would be  expansionist China and  fundamentalist regime of Iran and would be  the litmus test  for his  current term.  China coupled with North Korea, Russia alongwith some smaller  neighbours  may like to emerge as  2nd Pole and challenge the American might.  Though it  could be  a herculean task to build such a  Block  because  China with all the  military  power,  big  dollar-chest,  has rubbed its neighbors  on the wrong side at one time or the other in the past and  gathers little trust of  its neighbors.

India, as  the  largest democracy,  biggest  supplier of soft-power to  the US  and  cordial  bonding  legacy between  Donald Trump-Narendra Modi  from his first term  (2016-2020)  should get  more  benificial  dividends, except  some  re-routing  the  Indo-US   jugalbandi and  rhymes,  bruised due to Biden administrations’  policy distraction on Bangladesh, Pakistan and  Indo-Russia oil-defence deals.

The astute and  balanced foreign policy  practised by PM Modi-EAM Jaishankar team  would have  to do  some   difficult  mennures  and remaping in the coming months.  It’s  most likely that  Prez. Trumpt will  make  his first foreign trip to India  in the first half of 2025, yet  India  may find it difficult to revise its  Indo-Soviet policy initiatives as  Russia has been our  consistent ally  while  many American regimes in the past  have been  expecting  India to toe their line in the global affairs.

The Negatives of Trump’s Comeback are  few but quite  significant ones. Firstly,  a  uni- polar world  is more dangerous, because any  future leader of the Unites States may use its power brazenly.  How would   any  divergent voice be heard   followed ?

It could also lead to  dumping down of  de-dollarisation campaign by China, Russia  at BRICS  Forum and any chance of  alternative currency  option for Global trade would  be  nipped in the budding stage.  Smaller nations would  have to  face a situation, as India faced in 1991 Forex crunch for  buying even essentials and critical medicines.  Dollar will gain strength and  developing economies would have  to look for seasonal waves  in US treasury policy  for any relief.

India, would have to  shun  its policy of Ruppe Trade option, yet may go for making  Rupee convertible sooner than  ever thought.  Many smaller or significant after-effects of  Trump’s  hardline policies  would need  timely rederssal when these emerge over board.                                                                                         ———-  Subhash C Vatsain, Editor 

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*(pics credit-Britannica, www.etsy.com and our library)                                                           

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