As the Trimurti of top 3 leaders of Asia gather at the two-day SCO Summit in Kyrgyz c
apital Bishkek on Monday, the issue of utmost importance for discussion would be: how long can Russian President Vladimir Putin take to finish his NATO-Ukraine expedition ?
SCO Summit at Bishkek: Although the 10 member Shanghai Cooperation Organisation meeting in Kyrgyzstan has a declared agenda on Security, Trade, Energy and Connectivity; the most important point for discussion would be regional co-opoeration among the member nations, in the context of continued global conflicts over the last 19 months; since US President Donald Trump’s term-II reinstalation in January 2025 and his tirade on Energy Tariffs, Iran-Israel-America war, seizure of Venezuelan president by the US Air Force, apart from the Four and half-year long Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The hidden truth about the Global War Situation is that all the Warring Nations in these above conficts (viz., Russia-Ukraine, Iran, Israel, the United States, the Gulf States), are in a s
hambles: their economies are on the verge of collapse, military ammunitions at the lowest levels in their depots, Combat aircrafts scurring for escape routes against their miniature tribes; the Drones and missiles, which have overtaken the skyline and striking their targets more lethally than the wily fighter jets!
Time for Prez Putin to Strike Hard and Finish the four-and a half year long War with Ukraine (nay NATO). In fact, Russian President is justified in dis-allowing Ukraine to join NATO and bring the pro-America conglomerate on its borders. No nation worth its salt would tolerate a nation that brought in USSR breakdown in 1991, at its borders. But taking the War to near five year length is fraught with more risks than waiting for any miracle to happen. Russia is at a huge advantage on the ground as it has already captured more than 25% of Ukraine’s territories.
Rudderless NATO, is fiddling with a sure shot formula to let Ukraine in or to find a replacement for its leader, the United States, and keep itself afloat. There are plenty of differences among the NATO members over its Ukraine policy, whether to admit and face the Russian fire. British and German offer of helping Ukraine can’t be more than a mere lip-service; as none of the two nations can send their own Air Force pilots to attack Russia, and face public ire over fighting others’ battle, risking own men’s lives. Ukraine is left with no ammunition for fire nor traine
d men to press the trigger.
The war is currently escalating militarily even as diplomacy is also being explored. Russia is trying to maintain pressure on the Donbas front and Ukraine’s infrastructure, while Ukraine is increasingly using borrowed long-range drones to attack Russian territory and energy infrastructure.
The interesting question now is whether September produces genuine negotiations or simply allow another round of fighting before negotiations. The likely Trump–Putin–Zelensky meeting could be a major turning point if Moscow actually agrees to it. Russia is dominating in almost all the warfronts viz., Donetsk, Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, Kharkiv, Kursk and Crimea. On the ground level; Mariupol and the siege of Azovstal by Russia; Ukraine liberated Kharkiv-region territory and recapture of Kherson city; Russia’s annexation and claims over four Ukrainian regions; the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam in 2023 and the long battle for Bakhmut.
Ukraine says talks involving Russian and Ukrainian negotiators could resume in September, potentially with U.S. participation. More significantly, according to some media reports, CIA Director John Ratcliffe recently proposed a Trump–Putin–Zelensky trilateral summit during his secret Moscow visit. The proposal is aimed at restarting negotiations. However, the Kremlin currently says negotiations are on hold because there are no new ideas, so a summit is far from guaranteed. 
While the War on Ukraine front is likely to escalate into Europe with new British PM indicating to join the Ukrainia forces on border with Russia. Prez Putin won’t let that happen and may strike British soft targets in the Seas or elsewhere. This might bring in more confusion among the NATO members; Who Stands with Whom Dilemma?
The West Asia War is in the state of influx; until the mid-term elections in the United States, in November, when half of the Senate members will be elected. With President Trump’s rating falling down to near 33%, he can’t afford to rush into any misadventure with Iran, whereas Gulf nation allies are also in a confusion, whether to play second fiddle to America’s interests and face Iranian fire or wind up American bases from their soil and face huge business losses !
With SCO Summit beginning on Monday in Bishkek and BRICs Summit due in New Delhi in less than two weeks: all eyes are on September skyline, and likely to be very crucial period for the World Peace and much awaited Global Financial Relief! …….more later -Editor
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*(pics credit Aitenir and Vmenkov -for Commons.wikimedia.org ; and Sputnik news; tv9bangla.in)
